Addendum... More about pocket pairs

Again, this evening, I was tracking my pocket pairs. In 648 hands this is what I saw:

(w = won, l = lost, ^ = lost to Aces, * = flopped a set, f = folded pre-flop, kk = lost to Kings)

AA x 3 (w-w-w)
KK x 1 (l^)
QQ x 4 (l^-w-l[kk]-w)
JJ x 3 (w-l-w)
99 x 2 (w-w*)
88 x 3 (w*-l-f)
77 x 3 (l-l-w)
66 x 1 (w)
55 x 5 (f*-l*-l-l-l)
44 x 1 (w)
33 x 2 (l-l)
22 x 3 (f-l-f)

So, tonight I was dealt 31 pocket pairs from 648 hands. Statistics state I should have seen about 38 pairs, so this was quite a bit below average.

Of the 31 pairs I folded 4 of them pre-flop. So saw a flop with 27 pairs and should have expected to hit a set just over 3 times (3.1). I did, indeed, see 3 sets during the evening, so bang on average. But, I would have hit a set with one of the pairs of 5's that I folded, so if you count all the hands it would have been 4 from 31, which is above the average of 3.6.

The killer thing tonight was that I got Kings once, and ran into Aces. On two of the four occasions I got Queens I ran into Aces again, and Kings the other time. With cold decks like this it's pretty difficult not to go completely broke.

I won hands with 12 of the 27 flops that I saw, and 10 of those were with 8's or above (but the final one was where I hit a set with 6's). So it looks like I should only really play pocket 8's or above, but that being the case I would never have made most of my cash back on the last hand with the 6's.